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2017 Open Championship Sleeper Picks and Longshots

The 2017 Open Championship is just around the corner and this year they are playing at the Royal Birkdale GC in Southport, England. The last time the British Open was played there was back in 2008 where the veteran Irishman Padraig Harrington took home the famous Claret Jug at the third major of the year.

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Some Notes About The 2017 Open Course:

  • Expect Unpredictable Weather - In 2008, the there were wind gusts up to 50 MPH...the winning score was +3. While early reports show no signs of this kind of "drastic" wind this year, with British Open courses, you simply can’t predict the weather.
  • Accuracy May Be The Key - Royal Birkdale GC is a par 70 course at just 7156 yards with very narrow fairways. If you miss the greens this year, it’s going to be difficult to get an easy up and down. Accuracy and Scrambling should be some key stats to look at.
  • Birdies Are Going To Be At A Premium - Low scores just don’t happen at this course...in fact, the last time someone got into double digits under par was way back when Lee Trevino did it in 1971. A player who is capable of stringing together some nice birdie runs might just take the crown this year.

 

Our dark horse picks are not only for daily fantasy golf lineups and office pool picks, but we may also do a little sprinkle and take them straight up as outright winners on a betting money line. Without further ado, here are our Top 5 Sleeper Picks For All The Money:

 

 

2017 Open Championship Sleepers

 

Andy Sullivan

Andy Sullivan I always love to target European players when playing on link courses and the UK born Andy Sullivan is one of them this week. He is having a great year so far, and his current form is stellar with 9 straight cuts made and a recent Top Ten performance at the Scottish Open. I have a feeling a lot of people are going to be targeting Sullivan as a longshot this week, so he might be your chalk sleeper pick for the 2017 British Open Championship.

 

Bernd Wiesberger

Bernd Wiesberger Besides being in great form right now, Wiesberger is ranked 35th on the Euro Tour in driving accuracy and that is going to be a key to making the cut this year at Royal Birkdale. You might catch Bernd at low ownership this week because of recency bias - he finished tied for 51st at The Scottish Open with a poor performance. However, before that he was on a nice little tear raking up a ton of fantasy points if you had him on your teams.

 

Ross Fisher

Ross Fisher I have used Fisher quite a lot this year as my sleeper pick on many daily fantasy teams, and while he hasn’t won, he has had a couple nice Top 10 finishes. He played at The British Open in 2008 at this same course finishing 39th, and I’m hoping for a Top 20 finish this year. When he’s on his game his GIR is usually in the 75% range, which would serve him well in 2017 - you don’t want to miss the greens at Royal Birkdale GC.

 

Webb Simpson

Webb Simpson Our 1st American pick so far and we are targeting him for his accuracy. He’s 38th in driving accuracy on the tour this year and 72nd in greens in regulation, which is not spectacular, but for a sleeper pick I will take it...especially because of his recent form. So far this year, he has 3 Top Tens and currently has 6 straight cuts made. He has made the cut in the last 2 Open Championships.

 

 

Marc Leishman

Marc Leishman You can argue whether or not he is a true sleeper due to his price range at various DFS sites, but I think he provides solid value at a 3rd tier kind of level. We may get lucky and he could go overlooked because of last year’s results in this major, where he finished 53rd - but before that he has a 2nd place finish in 2015 and a 5th place finish in 2014. He’s a veteran...has played links courses many times and is used to the swings of unpredictable weather. He could be chalky or he could be under 15% owned - but with his recent form I’m having a lot of exposure to the Leishman.

 

Expected Chalk Sleeper Picks

  • Xander Schauffele
  • Andy Sullivan
  • Marc Leishman
  • Rafael Cabrera-Bello
  • Steve Stricker

 

Top Stud Fades This Week

  • Dustin Johnson
  • Adam Scott